NFL Week 2 Nuggets

Enjoy this post from our Director of Content & Media: Casey Halpern

*All odds, records, and any additional information provided is intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and is not intended as advice on gambling, specific game selection, specific wager selection or decision-making.

Key acronyms mentioned below:

ATS = Against the spread

SU =  Straight up

EPA = Expected Points added

Please find Week 1 matchup nuggets below

LAC (+4.5) @ KC

- Mahomes vs. LAC: 3-3-1 ATS, 5-2 SU, 16 TD, 5 INT

- Mahomes in September: 9-5 ATS, 12-2 SU. 46 TD, 3 INT

- Justin Herbert has never lost in Arrowhead. 2-0 ATS & SU. 8 total TD, 0 INT.

- Chiefs are 20-11 ATS and 24-7 straight up in the month of September under Andy Reid

MIA (+3.5)  @ BAL

- MIA beat BAL last year outright as 8.5-point dogs

- John Harbaugh is 19-9 ATS in the first two weeks of the season

- Mike McDaniel’s first road game as a head coach

CAR (+2.5) @ NYG

- The much anticipated Ben McAdoo revenge game! McAdoo was NYG head coach for two seasons

- CAR hasn’t covered since Week 10 of last season

- NYG is over .500 for the first time since 2016

- Daniel Jones at home: 7-12 ATS & SU. 19 total TD, 30 Turnovers

- Daniel Jones as a home favorite: 1-3 ATS

NYJ (+6) @ CLE

- CLE is off to their first 1-0 start since 2004

- The Jets haven’t won a September game since Sam Darnold’s NFL debut on September 10th, 2018. Since the beginning of 2018, they’re 2-12 ATS & 1-13 SU in the month of September

- Over the last 10 years, NYJ is the least profitable NFL team ATS on the road: 10-21 ATS.

- NYJ hasn’t covered 7 straight September games. The under is 5-2 in those seven.

- NYJ has lost 25 of their last 50 games by double-digits

- Jacoby Brissett makes his home Browns debut

- 3rd time in his NFL career that Brissett will be a TD or more favorite (1-1 ATS, 2-0 SU)

WAS (+2) @ DET

- In Week 1, D’Andre Swift became the 1st Lion with 100+ rush yds in season opener since Barry Sanders in 1996

- Washington is 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 games

- DET has covered five straight games at home

- Carson Wentz makes his first road start for Washington

ATL (+10.5) @ LAR

- The under is 15-4 in Rams home games at SoFi Stadium (incl. postseason)

- Sean McVay is 6-1 ATS coming off games in which the Rams has lost by 13+

- Arthur Smith as a 10+ point dog: 0-2-1 ATS

- Sean McVay is just 1-4 ATS in his last five games a favorite of 10+ points

IND (-4) @ JAX

- Frank Reich struggles against the Jags: 1-6-1 ATS and is 0-4 ATS and SU in road games at Jacksonville.

- IND is off to their best start since 2013…0-0-1…

- Matt Ryan is 11-3 ATS in Week 2 during his career

TB (-2.5) @ NO

- TB has lost six straight regular season games outright and ATS vs. NO

- In his career, Tom Brady is 2-6 ATS in regular season games vs. NO

- Jameis Winston revenge factor. Making his 2nd start vs. his former team

- Jameis Winston in 4th quarter last week: 13/16, 213 yds, 2 TD

NE (-1) @ PIT

- First Pats-Steelers matchup without Tom Brady or Ben Roethlisberger since 12/06/1998. Drew Bledsoe & Kordell Stewart were the QBs in that game.

- First time Pats are underdogs in their first two games to start the season since 2003

- NE hasn’t started 0-2 since 2001

- Since 2016, the under is 33-16 in Patriot road games

- PIT has covered 8 straight home games as dogs

- Mike Tomlin as a home underdog: 14-3-2 ATS

- Steelers home opener. Reigning DPOY TJ Watt is OUT

CIN (-8.5) @ DAL

- Cooper Rush takes over as the DAL starting QB. Rush is making his 2nd career start. 1-0 ATS & SU.

- DAL O-line is battered. Allowed four sacks and 12 QB hits in Week 1.

- Joe Burrow coming off an ugly game with a career-high 5 turnovers

- CIN rebuilt O-Line was very suspect in Week 1. Burrow was sacked 7 times and pressured on 30% of his drop backs, which is down from last year still.

- Micah Parsons in Week 1: 5 pressures, 2 sacks

- Joe Burrow on the road incl. postseason: 10-4 ATS

SEA (+8.5) @ SF

- Kyle Shanahan has struggled against SEA during his tenure: 4-6 ATS, 2-8 SU

- Kyle Shanahan has struggled to cover as a favorite, 14-25-1 ATS.

- 5-12-1 ATS as a favorite of 6+ points

- Pete Carroll has been great against SF: 15-8-1 ATS

- Kyle Shanahan is now 8-29 SU without Jimmy Garoppolo

- Geno Smith has covered nine straight games

HOU (+10) @ DEN

- Russell Wilson makes his Broncos home debut

- In the last 10 years, DEN is 11-6-3 ATS at home in month of September

- Davis Mills is 3-1 ATS in his last four games as 10+ point dog

ARI (+5.5) @ LV

- Derek Carr tied a career-high with 3 interceptions in Week 1

- Kliff Kingsbury as a road dog: 13-4-1 ATS (incl. postseason)

- ARI was 8-2 ATS & SU on the road last season (incl. postseason)

- Overs in Allegiant Stadium are 11-5-1

CHI (+10) @ GB

- Aaron Rodgers vs. Bears: 21-7 ATS, 23-5 SU. 61 TD, 12 INT

- Green Bay has covered and won six straight against Chicago

- Rodgers’ has lost 15 career games by 14+ points. In the next game, the Packers are 10-4-1 ATS.

- Since 2005, GB is 12-5 ATS in primetime games vs. CHI

- Matt Eberflus’ first road game as a head coach

TEN (+10) @ BUF

- Mike Vrabel thrives as a big underdog. As a dog of 6+ points, Mike Vrabel’s Titans are 8-2 ATS & 7-3 SU.

- Since 2020, TEN is 6-1 ATS as a dog of 3+ points

- 3rd time in Vrabel’s coaching career he is an underdog of 10+ points. 2-0 ATS & SU.

- Josh Allen is 9-3 ATS in primetime in his career (incl. postseason)

- BUF won by 21 in Week 1 despite having having four turnovers

MIN (+2) @ PHI

- Kevin O’Connell’s first road game as a head coach

- Overs were 7-2 in MIN road games last season

- PHI had 216 rushing yards in Week 1. Four rushing TDs scored by four separate players

- Kirk Cousins is 11-16 ATS in primetime…4-1 ATS in last five though